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State Street Investor Confidence Index - October 2007

Investor Confidence At a Glance

  • Global Index: 82.6
  • Monthly Change: Down 6.1
  • Year-to-year Change: Up 1.9
  • North America Index: 89.2
  • Monthly Change: Down 13
  • Europe Index: 83.6
  • Monthly Change: Up 0.7
  • Asia Index: 85.7
  • Monthly Change: Down 1.7

State Street Investor Confidence Index Graph October 2007

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State Street Investor Confidence Index Graph 2 October 2007

Investor Confidence Index Falls From 88.7 to 82.6 in October

10/23/2007

Boston, October 23, 2007 – State Street Global Markets, the investment research and trading arm of State Street Corporation (NYSE:STT), today released the results of the State Street Investor Confidence Index® for October 2007.

Global Investor Confidence fell by 6.1 points to a level of 82.6, from last month’s revised reading of 88.7. Sentiment in North America declined from 102.8 to 89.2. Asian investors were also feeling more cautious, resulting in a decline of 1.7 points in the Asian Confidence Index. Only in Europe did institutional risk appetite improve, rising from 82.9 to 83.6.

Developed through State Street Global Markets’ research partnership, State Street Associates, by Harvard University professor Ken Froot and State Street Associates Director Paul O’Connell, the State Street Investor Confidence Index®measures investor confidence on a quantitative basis by analyzing the actual buying and selling patterns of institutional investors. The index is based on financial theory that assigns precise meaning to changes in investor risk appetite, or the willingness of investors to allocate their portfolios to equities. The more of their portfolio that institutional investors are willing to devote to equities, the greater their risk appetite or confidence.

“Following the see-saw behavior of late summer, which saw institutional investors providing liquidity to cash-strapped investors in August, before taking profit on that trade in September, this month’s confidence reading reflects a more dubious stance on the fundamentals,” commented Froot. “Uncertainty around the macroeconomic environment and earnings prospects has both increased the riskiness of assets, and decreased the appetite to hold them.”

“Emblematic of this month’s decline in confidence was the pattern observed among North American institutional investors,” added O’Connell. “In this cohort, confidence fell to its lowest level since February 2006, and this was reflected in persistent selling of equities over the period, especially in recent days.”

Source: State Street Associates

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