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Gross Domestic Product (GDP) - 2nd Quarter 2007

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) At a Glance
Final 2nd Quarter Figures

  • Real Annual Growth Rate: 3.8%
  • Previous Quarter Rate: 0.6%
  • Current Dollar GDP Growth: 6.6%
  • GDP Implicit Price Deflator: 2.6%

Technorati Tags: Gross Domestic Product, GDP, GNP, Corporate Profits

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: SECOND QUARTER 2007 (FINAL)
CORPORATE PROFITS: SECOND QUARTER 2007 (FINAL)

Real gross domestic product — the output of goods and services produced by labor and property
located in the United States — increased at an annual rate of 3.8 percent in the second quarter of 2007,
according to final estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP
increased 0.6 percent.

The GDP estimates released today are based on more complete source data than were available for
the preliminary estimates issued last month. In the preliminary estimates, the increase in real GDP was
4.0 percent (see “Revisions” on page 3).

The increase in real GDP in the second quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from
personal consumption expenditures (PCE) for services, exports, nonresidential structures, federal
government spending, state and local government spending, and equipment and software that were
partly offset by a negative contribution from residential fixed investment. Imports, which are a
subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

The acceleration in real GDP growth in the second quarter primarily reflected a downturn in
imports, upturns in federal government spending and in private inventory investment, accelerations in
exports, in nonresidential structures, and in equipment and software, and a smaller decrease in
residential fixed investment that were partly offset by a notable deceleration in PCE.

FOOTNOTE.–Quarterly estimates are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates, unless otherwise
specified. Quarter-to-quarter dollar changes are differences between these published estimates. Percent
changes are calculated from unrounded data and are annualized. “Real” estimates are in chained (2000)
dollars. Price indexes are chain-type measures.

This news release is available on BEA’s Web site at www.bea.gov/newsreleases/rels.htm.

Final sales of computers contributed 0.21 percentage point to the second-quarter growth in real
GDP after subtracting 0.01 percentage point from the first-quarter growth. Motor vehicle output
contributed 0.03 percentage point to the second-quarter growth in real GDP after contributing 0.18
percentage point to the first-quarter growth.

The price index for gross domestic purchases, which measures prices paid by U.S. residents,
increased 3.8 percent in the second quarter, the same as in the preliminary estimate; this index also
increased 3.8 percent in the first quarter. Excluding food and energy prices, the price index for gross
domestic purchases increased 1.5 percent in the second quarter, compared with an increase of 3.1
percent in the first.

Real personal consumption expenditures increased 1.4 percent in the second quarter, compared
with an increase of 3.7 percent in the first. Real nonresidential fixed investment increased 11.0 percent,
compared with an increase of 2.1 percent. Nonresidential structures increased 26.2 percent, compared
with an increase of 6.4 percent. Equipment and software increased 4.7 percent, compared with an
increase of 0.3 percent. Real residential fixed investment decreased 11.8 percent, compared with a
decrease of 16.3 percent.

Real exports of goods and services increased 7.5 percent in the second quarter, compared with an
increase of 1.1 percent in the first. Real imports of goods and services decreased 2.7 percent, in contrast
to an increase of 3.9 percent.

Real federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment increased 6.0 percent in
the second quarter, in contrast to a decrease of 6.3 percent in the first. National defense increased 8.5
percent, in contrast to a decrease of 10.8 percent. Nondefense increased 0.9 percent, compared with an
increase of 3.8 percent. Real state and local government consumption expenditures and gross
investment increased 3.0 percent, the same increase as in the first.

The real change in private inventories added 0.22 percentage point to the second-quarter change in
real GDP, after subtracting 0.65 percentage point from the first-quarter change. Private businesses
increased inventories $5.8 billion in the second quarter, following increases of $0.1 billion in the first
quarter and $17.4 billion in the fourth.

Real final sales of domestic product — GDP less change in private inventories — increased 3.6
percent in the second quarter, compared with an increase of 1.3 percent in the first.

Gross domestic purchases

Real gross domestic purchases — purchases by U.S. residents of goods and services wherever
produced — increased 2.4 percent in the second quarter, compared with an increase of 1.1 percent in the
first.

Gross national product

Real gross national product — the goods and services produced by the labor and property supplied
by U.S. residents — increased 4.0 percent in the second quarter, compared with an increase of 0.7
percent in the first. GNP includes, and GDP excludes, net receipts of income from the rest of the world,
which increased $5.8 billion in the second quarter after increasing $1.8 billion in the first; in the second
quarter, receipts increased $46.1 billion, and payments increased $40.3 billion.

Current-dollar GDP

Current-dollar GDP — the market value of the nation’s output of goods and services — increased
6.6 percent, or $216.9 billion, in the second quarter to a level of $13,768.8 billion. In the first quarter,
current-dollar GDP increased 4.9 percent, or $159.6 billion.

Revisions

The final estimate of the second-quarter increase in real GDP is 0.2 percentage point, or $3.7
billion, lower than the preliminary estimate issued last month. The downward revision to the percent
change in real GDP primarily reflected an upward revision to imports and a downward revision to
nonresidential structures that were partly offset by an upward revision to equipment and software.

Advance Preliminary Final
(Percent change from preceding quarter)

Real GDP…………………………. 3.4 4.0 3.8
Current-dollar GDP………………… 6.2 6.7 6.6
Gross domestic purchases price index… 3.9 3.8 3.8

Corporate Profits

Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments) increased $94.7 billion in the second quarter, compared with an increase of
$16.5 billion in the first quarter. Current-production cash flow (net cash flow with inventory valuation
and capital consumption adjustments) — the internal funds available to corporations for investment —
increased $37.4 billion in the second quarter, compared with an increase of $0.2 billion in the first.

Taxes on corporate income increased $37.6 billion in the second quarter, compared with an
increase of $0.1 billion in the first. Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption
adjustments increased $57.0 billion in the second quarter, compared with an increase of $16.4 billion in
the first. Dividends increased $24.8 billion, compared with an increase of $23.0 billion; current-
production undistributed profits increased $32.2 billion, in contrast to a decrease of $6.6 billion.

Domestic profits of financial corporations increased $52.7 billion in the second quarter, in contrast
to a decrease of $26.9 billion in the first. Domestic profits of nonfinancial corporations increased $25.3
billion in the second quarter, compared with an increase of $23.2 billion in the first. In the second
quarter, real gross corporate value added increased, and profits per unit of real value added increased.
The increase in profits per unit reflected an increase in unit prices that was partly offset by an increase in
unit labor costs; unit nonlabor costs decreased slightly.

The rest-of-the-world component of profits increased $16.7 billion in the second quarter,
compared with an increase of $20.1 billion in the first. This measure is calculated as (1) receipts by U.S.
residents of earnings from their foreign affiliates plus dividends received by U.S. residents from
unaffiliated foreign corporations minus (2) payments by U.S. affiliates of earnings to their foreign
parents plus dividends paid by U.S. corporations to unaffiliated foreign residents. The second-quarter
increase was accounted for by a larger increase in receipts than in payments.

Profits before tax with inventory valuation adjustment is the best available measure of industry
profits because estimates of the capital consumption adjustment by industry do not exist. This measure
reflects depreciation-accounting practices used for federal income tax returns. According to this
measure, domestic profits of financial and nonfinancial corporations increased. The increase in
nonfinancial corporations reflected increases in manufacturing, in wholesale trade, in transportation and
warehousing, and in utilities that were partly offset by decreases in ?other? nonfinancial and in
information. Within manufacturing, the largest increase was in petroleum and coal products.

Profits before tax increased $115.7 billion in the second quarter, compared with an increase of
$26.6 billion in the first. The before-tax measure of profits does not reflect, as does profits from current
production, the capital consumption and inventory valuation adjustments. These adjustments convert
depreciation of fixed assets and inventory withdrawals reported on a tax-return, historical-cost basis to
the current-cost measures used in the national income and product accounts. The capital consumption
adjustment decreased $6.5 billion in the second quarter (from -$227.9 billion to -$234.4 billion), in
contrast to an increase of $9.1 billion in the first. The inventory valuation adjustment decreased $14.5
billion (from -$40.2 billion to -$54.7 billion), compared with a decrease of $19.2 billion.

* * *

BEA’s national, international, regional, and industry estimates; the Survey of Current Business;
and BEA news releases are available without charge on BEA’s Web site at www.bea.gov. By visiting
the site, you can also subscribe to receive free e-mail summaries of BEA releases and announcements.

Gross Domestic Product - 2nd Quarter 2007 Final [PDF]

GDP Tables 2nd Quarter 2007 [Excel]

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

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